Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.028568 0.030647 0.032814 0.035245 0.037899 0.040713 0.043927
2025-07-06 0.025514 0.028527 0.031831 0.035735 0.040240 0.045293 0.051419
2025-07-13 0.023197 0.026746 0.030787 0.035756 0.041738 0.048755 0.057678
2025-07-20 0.021680 0.025630 0.030267 0.036160 0.043514 0.052473 0.064348
2025-07-27 0.020183 0.024355 0.029381 0.035945 0.044389 0.055016 0.069617
2025-08-03 0.018930 0.023254 0.028579 0.035705 0.045122 0.057325 0.074647
2025-08-10 0.017868 0.022300 0.027869 0.035484 0.045796 0.059523 0.079609
2025-08-17 0.016977 0.021496 0.027278 0.035346 0.046522 0.061775 0.084745
2025-08-24 0.016047 0.020579 0.026471 0.034841 0.046673 0.063195 0.088733
2025-08-31 0.015161 0.019668 0.025612 0.034196 0.046558 0.064186 0.092106
2025-09-07 0.014482 0.018997 0.025036 0.033896 0.046894 0.065813 0.096519
2025-09-14 0.013881 0.018399 0.024524 0.033647 0.047266 0.067488 0.101092
2025-09-21 0.013202 0.017668 0.023797 0.033054 0.047100 0.068349 0.104453
2025-09-28 0.012871 0.017409 0.023723 0.033409 0.048378 0.071506 0.111817
2025-10-05 0.012456 0.017010 0.023425 0.033405 0.049089 0.073796 0.117888
2025-10-12 0.012177 0.016794 0.023378 0.033771 0.050390 0.077104 0.125971
2025-10-19 0.011761 0.016356 0.022981 0.033572 0.050764 0.078891 0.131481
2025-10-26 0.011365 0.015932 0.022586 0.033352 0.051079 0.080585 0.136937
2025-11-02 0.010999 0.015538 0.022216 0.033148 0.051404 0.082299 0.142555
2025-11-09 0.010674 0.015193 0.021906 0.033021 0.051842 0.084227 0.148725
2025-11-16 0.010286 0.014736 0.021403 0.032556 0.051672 0.085053 0.152790
2025-11-23 0.009888 0.014251 0.020839 0.031962 0.051244 0.085376 0.155860
2025-11-30 0.009585 0.013903 0.020477 0.031686 0.051354 0.086686 0.161043